PMID- 37907282 OWN - NLM STAT- Publisher LR - 20231031 IS - 1759-8486 (Electronic) IS - 1759-8478 (Linking) DP - 2023 Oct 31 TI - Clinically important effect sizes for clinical trials using infarct growth reduction as the primary outcome: a systematic review. LID - jnis-2023-020850 [pii] LID - 10.1136/jnis-2023-020850 [doi] AB - BACKGROUND: Infarct growth on multimodal imaging is a common lead outcome in phase 2 proof-of-concept and dose-optimization neuroprotective agent stroke trials. However, the effect size in infarct growth reduction that correlates with clinically meaningful differences in clinical global disability outcomes has not been well delineated. METHODS: A systematic literature search identified all endovascular thrombectomy randomized trials reporting magnitude of treatment effect on both infarct growth reduction and increase in functional independence (modified Rankin Scale (mRS) 0-2). Data aggregation determined the size of infarct growth reductions salient to four types of clinically meaningful effect sizes of increase in functional independence: (1) the minimal clinically important difference (MCID)-outcome specific; (2) the MCID-practice changing; (3) the realistic target difference; and (4) the reasonable comparability effect size. RESULTS: A systematic search identified four trials enrolling 612 imaged participants. Across the trials, the amount of functional independence (mRS 0-2) increase associated with each 1 mL reduction in infarct growth was mean 2.3+/-0.6%. An infarct growth reduction of 0.57 mL correlated with the mRS 0-2 increase MCID of 1.3%. Infarct growth reductions of 2.27 mL, 4.35 mL, and 6.53 mL correlated with realistic effect and reasonable comparability effects sizes of mRS 0-2 increases of 5%, 10%, and 15%, respectively. CONCLUSION: In formal meta-analysis of randomized treatment trials, every 1 mL reduction in infarct growth was associated with a 2.3% increase in functional independence (mRS 0-2) at 3 months. This conversion factor can inform selection of infarct growth effect size targets for phase 2 trials of neuroprotective agents. CI - (c) Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2023. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ. FAU - Liao, Nien-Chen AU - Liao NC AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-1332-7614 AD - Neurology, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan. AD - Institute of Clinical Medicine, School of Medicine, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University - Yangming Campus, Taipei, Taiwan. FAU - Bahr Hosseini, Mersedeh AU - Bahr Hosseini M AD - Comprehensive Stroke Center and Neurology, Reed Neurologic Research Center, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California, USA. FAU - Saver, Jeffrey L AU - Saver JL AUID- ORCID: 0000-0001-9141-2251 AD - Comprehensive Stroke Center and Neurology, Reed Neurologic Research Center, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California, USA JSaver@mednet.ucla.edu. LA - eng PT - Journal Article DEP - 20231031 PL - England TA - J Neurointerv Surg JT - Journal of neurointerventional surgery JID - 101517079 SB - IM OTO - NOTNLM OT - CT perfusion OT - MR perfusion OT - Statistics OT - Stroke OT - Thrombectomy COIS- Competing interests: JLS has received, for service on clinical trial steering committees and DSMBs advising on rigorous study design and conduct, contracted hourly payments from Medtronic, Abbott, NeuroVasc, Phillips Medical, Bayer, Biogen, Roche, BrainsGate, BrainQ, and Occlutech, and stock options from Rapid Medical and QuantalX. EDAT- 2023/11/01 00:42 MHDA- 2023/11/01 00:42 CRDT- 2023/10/31 21:13 PHST- 2023/07/23 00:00 [received] PHST- 2023/09/20 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2023/11/01 00:42 [medline] PHST- 2023/11/01 00:42 [pubmed] PHST- 2023/10/31 21:13 [entrez] AID - jnis-2023-020850 [pii] AID - 10.1136/jnis-2023-020850 [doi] PST - aheadofprint SO - J Neurointerv Surg. 2023 Oct 31:jnis-2023-020850. doi: 10.1136/jnis-2023-020850.