PMID- 37955008 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20231114 LR - 20231116 IS - 1664-2392 (Print) IS - 1664-2392 (Electronic) IS - 1664-2392 (Linking) VI - 14 DP - 2023 TI - An early prediction model for type 2 diabetes mellitus based on genetic variants and nongenetic risk factors in a Han Chinese cohort. PG - 1279450 LID - 10.3389/fendo.2023.1279450 [doi] LID - 1279450 AB - AIMS: We aimed to construct a prediction model of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in a Han Chinese cohort using a genetic risk score (GRS) and a nongenetic risk score (NGRS). METHODS: A total of 297 Han Chinese subjects who were free from type 2 diabetes mellitus were selected from the Tianjin Medical University Chronic Disease Cohort for a prospective cohort study. Clinical characteristics were collected at baseline and subsequently tracked for a duration of 9 years. Genome-wide association studies (GWASs) were performed for T2DM-related phenotypes. The GRS was constructed using 13 T2DM-related quantitative trait single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) loci derived from GWASs, and NGRS was calculated from 4 biochemical indicators of independent risk that screened by multifactorial Cox regressions. RESULTS: We found that HOMA-IR, uric acid, and low HDL were independent risk factors for T2DM (HR >1; P<0.05), and the NGRS model was created using these three nongenetic risk factors, with an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.678; high fasting glucose (FPG >5 mmol/L) was a key risk factor for T2DM (HR = 7.174, P< 0.001), and its addition to the NGRS model caused a significant improvement in AUC (from 0.678 to 0.764). By adding 13 SNPs associated with T2DM to the GRS prediction model, the AUC increased to 0.892. The final combined prediction model was created by taking the arithmetic sum of the two models, which had an AUC of 0.908, a sensitivity of 0.845, and a specificity of 0.839. CONCLUSIONS: We constructed a comprehensive prediction model for type 2 diabetes out of a Han Chinese cohort. Along with independent risk factors, GRS is a crucial element to predicting the risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus. CI - Copyright (c) 2023 Li, Ye, Jiao, Wang, Zhang, Chen, Zhang, Feng, Wang, Chen, Gao, Wei and Li. FAU - Li, Jinjin AU - Li J AD - Department of Genetics, College of Basic Medical Sciences, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China. AD - NHC Key Laboratory of Hormones and Development, Tianjin Key Laboratory of Metabolic Diseases, Chu Hsien-I Memorial Hospital & Tianjin Institute of Endocrinology, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China. FAU - Ye, Qun AU - Ye Q AD - Department of Genetics, College of Basic Medical Sciences, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China. FAU - Jiao, Hongxiao AU - Jiao H AD - Department of Genetics, College of Basic Medical Sciences, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China. AD - Center of Basic Medical Sciences, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China. FAU - Wang, Wanyao AU - Wang W AD - Department of Genetics, College of Basic Medical Sciences, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China. FAU - Zhang, Kai AU - Zhang K AD - Geriatric Medicine, Tianjin General Hospital of Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China. FAU - Chen, Chen AU - Chen C AD - Geriatric Medicine, Tianjin General Hospital of Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China. FAU - Zhang, Yuan AU - Zhang Y AD - Department of Genetics, College of Basic Medical Sciences, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China. FAU - Feng, Shuzhi AU - Feng S AD - Geriatric Medicine, Tianjin General Hospital of Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China. FAU - Wang, Ximo AU - Wang X AD - Tianjin Nankai Hospital, Tianjin, China. FAU - Chen, Yubao AU - Chen Y AD - Institute of Laboratory Animal Sciences, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China. FAU - Gao, Huailin AU - Gao H AD - Hebei Yiling Hospital, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China. FAU - Wei, Fengjiang AU - Wei F AD - Department of Genetics, College of Basic Medical Sciences, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China. FAU - Li, Wei-Dong AU - Li WD AD - Department of Genetics, College of Basic Medical Sciences, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China. LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't DEP - 20231025 PL - Switzerland TA - Front Endocrinol (Lausanne) JT - Frontiers in endocrinology JID - 101555782 SB - IM MH - Humans MH - *Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/epidemiology/genetics MH - Genome-Wide Association Study MH - Prospective Studies MH - East Asian People MH - Risk Factors PMC - PMC10634500 OTO - NOTNLM OT - Han Chinese OT - cohort study OT - genetic risk factors OT - genome-wide association study OT - prediction model OT - type 2 diabetes mellitus COIS- The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest. EDAT- 2023/11/13 06:42 MHDA- 2023/11/14 06:43 PMCR- 2023/01/01 CRDT- 2023/11/13 04:44 PHST- 2023/08/18 00:00 [received] PHST- 2023/09/25 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2023/11/14 06:43 [medline] PHST- 2023/11/13 06:42 [pubmed] PHST- 2023/11/13 04:44 [entrez] PHST- 2023/01/01 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - 10.3389/fendo.2023.1279450 [doi] PST - epublish SO - Front Endocrinol (Lausanne). 2023 Oct 25;14:1279450. doi: 10.3389/fendo.2023.1279450. eCollection 2023.