PMID- 38154199 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20240505 LR - 20240505 IS - 1532-818X (Electronic) IS - 0196-0709 (Linking) VI - 45 IP - 3 DP - 2024 May-Jun TI - A practical online prediction platform to predict the survival status of laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma after 5 years. PG - 104209 LID - S0196-0709(23)00423-4 [pii] LID - 10.1016/j.amjoto.2023.104209 [doi] AB - OBJECTIVE: Currently, there are few practical tools for predicting the prognosis of laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (LSCC). This study aims to establish a model and a convenient online prediction platform to predict whether LSCC patients will survive 5 years after diagnosis, providing a reference for further evaluation of patient prognosis. METHODS: This is a retrospective study based on data collected from two centers. Center 1 included 117 LSCC patients with survival prognosis data, and center 2 included 33 patients, totaling 150 patients. All data were divided into independent training sets (60 %) and testing sets (40 %). Eight machine learning (ML) algorithms were used to establish models with 11 clinical parameters as input features. The accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) of the testing set were used to evaluate the models, and the best model was selected. The model was then developed into a website-based 5-year survival status prediction platform for LSCC. In addition, we also used the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) tool to conduct interpretability analysis on the parameters of the model. RESULTS: The LSCC 5-year survival status prediction model using the support vector machine (SVM) algorithm achieved the best results, with accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 85.0 %, 87.5 %, 75.0 %, and 81.2 % respectively. The online platform for predicting the 5-year survival status of LSCC based on this model was successfully established. The SHAP analysis shows that the clinical stage is the most important feature of the model. CONCLUSION: This study successfully established a ML model and a practical online prediction platform to predict the survival status of laryngeal cancer patients after 5 years, which may help clinicians to better evaluate the prognosis of LSCC. CI - Copyright (c) 2023 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. FAU - Li, Zufei AU - Li Z AD - Department of Otorhinolaryngology, Head and Neck Surgery, Beijing Chaoyang Hospital, Capital Medical University, 100020, China. FAU - Li, Tiancheng AU - Li T AD - Department of Otorhinolaryngology, Head and Neck Surgery, Beijing Chaoyang Hospital, Capital Medical University, 100020, China. FAU - Zhang, Pei AU - Zhang P AD - Department of Oncology, Zibo Central Hospital, 255035, China. FAU - Wang, Xiao AU - Wang X AD - Department of Otolaryngology, Head and Neck Surgery, Zibo Central Hospital, 255035, China. Electronic address: mingjinze12@163.com. LA - eng PT - Journal Article DEP - 20231222 PL - United States TA - Am J Otolaryngol JT - American journal of otolaryngology JID - 8000029 SB - IM MH - Humans MH - *Laryngeal Neoplasms/mortality/pathology/diagnosis MH - Male MH - Retrospective Studies MH - Female MH - Middle Aged MH - Prognosis MH - *Carcinoma, Squamous Cell/mortality/pathology MH - Survival Rate MH - Aged MH - Machine Learning MH - Time Factors MH - Algorithms MH - ROC Curve MH - Support Vector Machine MH - Predictive Value of Tests MH - Internet OTO - NOTNLM OT - Laryngeal squamous cell cancer OT - Machine learning OT - Online prediction model OT - Prognosis model OT - Support vector machines COIS- Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest. EDAT- 2023/12/29 00:42 MHDA- 2024/05/06 00:52 CRDT- 2023/12/28 18:02 PHST- 2023/12/04 00:00 [received] PHST- 2023/12/16 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2023/12/18 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2024/05/06 00:52 [medline] PHST- 2023/12/29 00:42 [pubmed] PHST- 2023/12/28 18:02 [entrez] AID - S0196-0709(23)00423-4 [pii] AID - 10.1016/j.amjoto.2023.104209 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Am J Otolaryngol. 2024 May-Jun;45(3):104209. doi: 10.1016/j.amjoto.2023.104209. Epub 2023 Dec 22.