PMID- 38172810 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20240118 LR - 20240118 IS - 1471-2288 (Electronic) IS - 1471-2288 (Linking) VI - 24 IP - 1 DP - 2024 Jan 3 TI - Adverse events in single-arm clinical trials with non-fatal time-to-event efficacy endpoint: from clinical questions to methods for statistical analysis. PG - 3 LID - 10.1186/s12874-023-02123-z [doi] LID - 3 AB - BACKGROUND: In any single-arm trial on novel treatments, assessment of toxicity plays an important role as occurrence of adverse events (AEs) is relevant for application in clinical practice. In the presence of a non-fatal time-to-event(s) efficacy endpoint, the analysis should be broadened to consider AEs occurrence in time. The AEs analysis could be tackled with two approaches, depending on the clinical question of interest. Approach 1 focuses on the occurrence of AE as first event. Treatment ability to protect from the efficacy endpoint event(s) has an impact on the chance of observing AEs due to competing risks action. Approach 2 considers how treatment affects the occurrence of AEs in the potential framework where the efficacy endpoint event(s) could not occur. METHODS: In the first part of the work we review the strategy of analysis for these two approaches. We identify theoretical quantities and estimators consistent with the following features: (a) estimators should address for the presence of right censoring; (b) theoretical quantities and estimators should be functions of time. In the second part of the work we propose the use of alternative methods (regression models, stratified Kaplan-Meier curves, inverse probability of censoring weighting) to relax the assumption of independence between the potential times to AE and to event(s) in the efficacy endpoint for addressing Approach 2. RESULTS: We show through simulations that the proposed methods overcome the bias due to the dependence between the two potential times and related to the use of standard estimators. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrated through simulations that one can handle patients selection in the risk sets due to the competing event, and thus obtain conditional independence between the two potential times, adjusting for all the observed covariates that induce dependence. CI - (c) 2023. The Author(s). FAU - Tassistro, Elena AU - Tassistro E AD - Bicocca Center of Bioinformatics, Biostatistics and Bioimaging (B4 centre), School of Medicine and Surgery, University of Milano-Bicocca, Monza, Italy. elena.tassistro@unimib.it. FAU - Bernasconi, Davide Paolo AU - Bernasconi DP AD - Bicocca Center of Bioinformatics, Biostatistics and Bioimaging (B4 centre), School of Medicine and Surgery, University of Milano-Bicocca, Monza, Italy. FAU - Valsecchi, Maria Grazia AU - Valsecchi MG AD - Bicocca Center of Bioinformatics, Biostatistics and Bioimaging (B4 centre), School of Medicine and Surgery, University of Milano-Bicocca, Monza, Italy. AD - Biostatistics and Clinical Epidemiology, Fondazione IRCCS San Gerardo dei Tintori, Monza, Italy. FAU - Antolini, Laura AU - Antolini L AD - Bicocca Center of Bioinformatics, Biostatistics and Bioimaging (B4 centre), School of Medicine and Surgery, University of Milano-Bicocca, Monza, Italy. LA - eng GR - 20178S4EK9/Grant PRIN project/ GR - 20178S4EK9/Grant PRIN project/ PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't PT - Review DEP - 20240103 PL - England TA - BMC Med Res Methodol JT - BMC medical research methodology JID - 100968545 SB - IM MH - Humans MH - Bias MH - *Models, Statistical MH - Probability MH - *Research Design MH - Clinical Trials as Topic PMC - PMC10765745 OTO - NOTNLM OT - Adverse events OT - Competing risks OT - Dependent censoring OT - IPCW OT - Survival analysis COIS- The authors declare no competing interests. EDAT- 2024/01/04 11:44 MHDA- 2024/01/05 06:42 PMCR- 2024/01/03 CRDT- 2024/01/03 23:51 PHST- 2023/05/19 00:00 [received] PHST- 2023/12/07 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2024/01/05 06:42 [medline] PHST- 2024/01/04 11:44 [pubmed] PHST- 2024/01/03 23:51 [entrez] PHST- 2024/01/03 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - 10.1186/s12874-023-02123-z [pii] AID - 2123 [pii] AID - 10.1186/s12874-023-02123-z [doi] PST - epublish SO - BMC Med Res Methodol. 2024 Jan 3;24(1):3. doi: 10.1186/s12874-023-02123-z.