PMID- 38243809 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20240430 LR - 20240502 IS - 1745-1701 (Electronic) IS - 0586-7614 (Print) IS - 0586-7614 (Linking) VI - 50 IP - 3 DP - 2024 Apr 30 TI - Proteomic Biomarkers for the Prediction of Transition to Psychosis in Individuals at Clinical High Risk: A Multi-cohort Model Development Study. PG - 579-588 LID - 10.1093/schbul/sbad184 [doi] AB - Psychosis risk prediction is one of the leading challenges in psychiatry. Previous investigations have suggested that plasma proteomic data may be useful in accurately predicting transition to psychosis in individuals at clinical high risk (CHR). We hypothesized that an a priori-specified proteomic prediction model would have strong predictive accuracy for psychosis risk and aimed to replicate longitudinal associations between plasma proteins and transition to psychosis. This study used plasma samples from participants in 3 CHR cohorts: the North American Prodrome Longitudinal Studies 2 and 3, and the NEURAPRO randomized control trial (total n = 754). Plasma proteomic data were quantified using mass spectrometry. The primary outcome was transition to psychosis over the study follow-up period. Logistic regression models were internally validated, and optimism-corrected performance metrics derived with a bootstrap procedure. In the overall sample of CHR participants (age: 18.5, SD: 3.9; 51.9% male), 20.4% (n = 154) developed psychosis within 4.4 years. The a priori-specified model showed poor risk-prediction accuracy for the development of psychosis (C-statistic: 0.51 [95% CI: 0.50, 0.59], calibration slope: 0.45). At a group level, Complement C8B, C4B, C5, and leucine-rich alpha-2 glycoprotein 1 (LRG1) were associated with transition to psychosis but did not surpass correction for multiple comparisons. This study did not confirm the findings from a previous proteomic prediction model of transition from CHR to psychosis. Certain complement proteins may be weakly associated with transition at a group level. Previous findings, derived from small samples, should be interpreted with caution. CI - (c) The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Maryland Psychiatric Research Center. FAU - Byrne, Jonah F AU - Byrne JF AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-7046-0630 AD - Department of Psychiatry, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, University of Medicine and Health Sciences, Dublin, Ireland. AD - SFI FutureNeuro Research Centre, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, University of Medicine and Health Sciences, Dublin, Ireland. FAU - Healy, Colm AU - Healy C AUID- ORCID: 0000-0001-7974-1861 AD - Department of Psychiatry, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, University of Medicine and Health Sciences, Dublin, Ireland. AD - Department of Psychology, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, Dublin 2, Ireland. FAU - Focking, Melanie AU - Focking M AD - Department of Psychiatry, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, University of Medicine and Health Sciences, Dublin, Ireland. FAU - Susai, Subash Raj AU - Susai SR AD - Department of Psychiatry, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, University of Medicine and Health Sciences, Dublin, Ireland. FAU - Mongan, David AU - Mongan D AUID- ORCID: 0000-0001-7931-9636 AD - Department of Psychiatry, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, University of Medicine and Health Sciences, Dublin, Ireland. AD - Centre for Public Health, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, UK. FAU - Wynne, Kieran AU - Wynne K AD - School of Biomolecular and Biomedical Science, Conway Institute, University College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland. FAU - Kodosaki, Eleftheria AU - Kodosaki E AD - School of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Cardiff University, Wales, UK. FAU - Heurich, Meike AU - Heurich M AD - School of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Cardiff University, Wales, UK. FAU - de Haan, Lieuwe AU - de Haan L AD - Department of Psychiatry, Academic Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands. FAU - Hickie, Ian B AU - Hickie IB AD - Brain and Mind Centre, The University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia. FAU - Smesny, Stefan AU - Smesny S AD - Department of Psychiatry, Jena University Hospital, Jena, Germany. FAU - Thompson, Andrew AU - Thompson A AD - Centre for Youth Mental Health, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia. AD - Orygen, The National Centre of Excellence in Youth Mental Health, Melbourne, VIC, Australia. FAU - Markulev, Connie AU - Markulev C AD - Centre for Youth Mental Health, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia. AD - Orygen, The National Centre of Excellence in Youth Mental Health, Melbourne, VIC, Australia. FAU - Young, Alison Ruth AU - Young AR AD - Centre for Youth Mental Health, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia. AD - Institute for Mental and Physical Health and Clinical Translation (IMPACT), Deakin University, Geelong, VIC, Australia. AD - School of Health Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK. FAU - Schafer, Miriam R AU - Schafer MR AD - Centre for Youth Mental Health, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia. AD - Orygen, The National Centre of Excellence in Youth Mental Health, Melbourne, VIC, Australia. FAU - Riecher-Rossler, Anita AU - Riecher-Rossler A AUID- ORCID: 0000-0001-6361-8789 AD - Medical Faculty, University of Basel, Switzerland. FAU - Mossaheb, Nilufar AU - Mossaheb N AD - Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Clinical Division of Social Psychiatry, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria. FAU - Berger, Gregor AU - Berger G AD - Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Psychiatric Hospital, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland. FAU - Schlogelhofer, Monika AU - Schlogelhofer M AD - BioPsyC-Biopsychosocial Corporation, Non-profit Association for Research Funding Ltd, Vienna, Austria. FAU - Nordentoft, Merete AU - Nordentoft M AD - Mental Health Center Copenhagen, Research Unit (CORE), Copenhagen, Denmark. AD - Department of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark. FAU - Chen, Eric Y H AU - Chen EYH AD - Department of Psychiatry, School of Clinical Medicine, LKS Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, 2/F New Clinical Building, Queen Mary Hospital, Pok Fu Lam, Hong Kong. AD - The State Key Laboratory of Brain and Cognitive Sciences, The University of Hong Kong, Pok Fu Lam, Hong Kong. FAU - Verma, Swapna AU - Verma S AD - Office of Education, Duke-NUS Graduate Medical School, Singapore, Singapore. AD - Department of Psychosis & East Region, Institute of Mental Health, Singapore, Singapore. FAU - Nieman, Dorien H AU - Nieman DH AD - Department of Psychiatry, Academic Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands. FAU - Woods, Scott W AU - Woods SW AD - Department of Psychiatry, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, USA. FAU - Cornblatt, Barbara A AU - Cornblatt BA AD - Department of Psychiatry, Zucker Hillside Hospital, Long Island, NY, USA. FAU - Stone, William S AU - Stone WS AUID- ORCID: 0000-0003-2932-7288 AD - Department of Psychiatry, Harvard Medical School at Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center and Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA. FAU - Mathalon, Daniel H AU - Mathalon DH AD - Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA. AD - Mental Health Service 116d, Veterans Affairs San Francisco Health Care System, San Francisco, CA, USA. FAU - Bearden, Carrie E AU - Bearden CE AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-8516-923X AD - Semel Institute for Neuroscience and Human Behavior, Departments of Psychiatry and Biobehavioral Sciences and Psychology, University of California, Los Angeles, CA, USA. FAU - Cadenhead, Kristin S AU - Cadenhead KS AD - Department of Psychiatry, University of California, San Diego, CA, USA. FAU - Addington, Jean AU - Addington J AD - Department of Psychiatry, Hotchkiss Brain Institute, University of Calgary, Calgary, Canada. FAU - Walker, Elaine F AU - Walker EF AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-9798-8101 AD - Department of Psychology, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA. AD - Department of Psychiatry, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA. FAU - Cannon, Tyrone D AU - Cannon TD AD - Department of Psychology, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA. AD - Department of Psychiatry, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA. FAU - Cannon, Mary AU - Cannon M AD - Department of Psychiatry, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, University of Medicine and Health Sciences, Dublin, Ireland. AD - SFI FutureNeuro Research Centre, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, University of Medicine and Health Sciences, Dublin, Ireland. AD - Department of Psychiatry, Beaumont Hospital, Dublin 9, Ireland. FAU - McGorry, Pat AU - McGorry P AD - Centre for Youth Mental Health, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia. AD - Orygen, The National Centre of Excellence in Youth Mental Health, Melbourne, VIC, Australia. FAU - Amminger, Paul AU - Amminger P AD - Centre for Youth Mental Health, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia. AD - Orygen, The National Centre of Excellence in Youth Mental Health, Melbourne, VIC, Australia. FAU - Cagney, Gerard AU - Cagney G AUID- ORCID: 0000-0001-7189-9496 AD - School of Biomolecular and Biomedical Science, Conway Institute, University College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland. FAU - Nelson, Barnaby AU - Nelson B AD - Centre for Youth Mental Health, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia. AD - Orygen, The National Centre of Excellence in Youth Mental Health, Melbourne, VIC, Australia. FAU - Jeffries, Clark AU - Jeffries C AD - Renaissance Computing Institute, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC, USA. FAU - Perkins, Diana AU - Perkins D AD - Department of Psychiatry, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC, USA. FAU - Cotter, David R AU - Cotter DR AD - Department of Psychiatry, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, University of Medicine and Health Sciences, Dublin, Ireland. AD - SFI FutureNeuro Research Centre, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, University of Medicine and Health Sciences, Dublin, Ireland. AD - Department of Psychiatry, Beaumont Hospital, Dublin 9, Ireland. LA - eng GR - 07TGF-1102/MH/NIMH NIH HHS/United States GR - 16/RC/3948/SFI_/Science Foundation Ireland/Ireland GR - 07TGF-1102/MH/NIMH NIH HHS/United States PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't PL - United States TA - Schizophr Bull JT - Schizophrenia bulletin JID - 0236760 RN - 0 (Biomarkers) SB - IM MH - Humans MH - *Psychotic Disorders/blood MH - Female MH - Male MH - *Biomarkers/blood MH - *Proteomics MH - Young Adult MH - Adolescent MH - *Prodromal Symptoms MH - Adult MH - Disease Progression MH - Longitudinal Studies MH - Risk PMC - PMC11059811 OTO - NOTNLM OT - coagulation OT - complement OT - high risk OT - immune OT - model OT - prediction OT - proteome OT - psychosis EDAT- 2024/01/20 21:41 MHDA- 2024/04/30 13:42 PMCR- 2024/01/19 CRDT- 2024/01/20 09:05 PHST- 2024/04/30 13:42 [medline] PHST- 2024/01/20 21:41 [pubmed] PHST- 2024/01/20 09:05 [entrez] PHST- 2024/01/19 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - 7578384 [pii] AID - sbad184 [pii] AID - 10.1093/schbul/sbad184 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Schizophr Bull. 2024 Apr 30;50(3):579-588. doi: 10.1093/schbul/sbad184.