PMID- 38345264 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20240321 LR - 20240411 IS - 1532-6535 (Electronic) IS - 0009-9236 (Linking) VI - 115 IP - 4 DP - 2024 Apr TI - Predictive Modeling of Drug-Related Adverse Events with Real-World Data: A Case Study of Linezolid Hematologic Outcomes. PG - 847-859 LID - 10.1002/cpt.3201 [doi] AB - Electronic health records (EHRs) provide meaningful knowledge of drug-related adverse events (AEs) that are not captured in standard drug development and postmarketing surveillance. Using variables obtained from EHR data in the University of California San Francisco de-identified Clinical Data Warehouse, we aimed to evaluate the potential of machine learning to predict two hematological AEs, thrombocytopenia and anemia, in a cohort of patients treated with linezolid for 3 or more days. Features for model input were extracted at linezolid initiation (index), and outcomes were characterized from index to 14 days post-treatment. Random forest classification (RFC) was used for AE prediction, and reduced feature models were evaluated using cumulative importance (cImp) for feature selection. Grade 3+ thrombocytopenia and anemia occurred in 31% of 2,171 and 56% of 2,170 evaluable patients, respectively. Of the total 53 features, as few as 7 contributed at least 50% cImp, resulting in prediction accuracies of 70% or higher and area under the receiver operating characteristic curves of 0.886 for grade 3+ thrombocytopenia and 0.759 for grade 3+ anemia. Sensitivity analyses in strictly defined patient subgroups revealed similarly high predictive performance in full and reduced feature models. A logistic regression model with the same 50% cImp features showed similar predictive performance as RFC and good concordance with RFC probability predictions after isotonic calibration, adding interpretability. Collectively, this work demonstrates potential for machine learning prediction of AE risk in real-world patients using few variables regularly available in EHRs, which may aid in clinical decision making and/or monitoring. CI - (c) 2024 The Authors. Clinical Pharmacology & Therapeutics published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Society for Clinical Pharmacology and Therapeutics. FAU - Patel, Anu AU - Patel A AUID- ORCID: 0000-0003-0628-668X AD - Department of Bioengineering and Therapeutic Sciences, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA. FAU - Doernberg, Sarah B AU - Doernberg SB AUID- ORCID: 0000-0003-1727-6014 AD - Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA. FAU - Zack, Travis AU - Zack T AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-1620-6455 AD - Bakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA. AD - Helen Diller Family Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA. FAU - Butte, Atul J AU - Butte AJ AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-7433-2740 AD - Department of Bioengineering and Therapeutic Sciences, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA. AD - Bakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA. AD - University of California Health, University of California, Office of the President, Oakland, California, USA. FAU - Radtke, Kendra K AU - Radtke KK AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-0578-6554 AD - Department of Bioengineering and Therapeutic Sciences, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA. AD - Bakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA. LA - eng GR - GM/NIGMS NIH HHS/United States GR - TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States GR - NH/NIH HHS/United States GR - GM/NIGMS NIH HHS/United States GR - TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States GR - NH/NIH HHS/United States PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't DEP - 20240212 PL - United States TA - Clin Pharmacol Ther JT - Clinical pharmacology and therapeutics JID - 0372741 RN - ISQ9I6J12J (Linezolid) SB - IM MH - Humans MH - Linezolid/adverse effects MH - *Anemia/chemically induced/epidemiology MH - *Thrombocytopenia/chemically induced/diagnosis/epidemiology MH - Logistic Models MH - San Francisco EDAT- 2024/02/12 15:44 MHDA- 2024/03/21 12:45 CRDT- 2024/02/12 08:12 PHST- 2023/09/29 00:00 [received] PHST- 2024/01/29 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2024/03/21 12:45 [medline] PHST- 2024/02/12 15:44 [pubmed] PHST- 2024/02/12 08:12 [entrez] AID - 10.1002/cpt.3201 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Clin Pharmacol Ther. 2024 Apr;115(4):847-859. doi: 10.1002/cpt.3201. Epub 2024 Feb 12.